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Sunday, September 12, 2021

Should I Stay, or Should I Go, and the 72-Hour Rule©

 

 

The title of a 1982 song by the Clash and a great survival question, graphic by the Author.


At some point, if you wander in the wilderness long enough, you are going to find yourself “misplaced”!  Just remember that being misplaced isn’t the same as being “lost”, because even Daniel Boone was “bewildered” once for three days (for more on this read “Being Bewildered and Bending the Map©”, HERE).  Most times, you will reorient yourself and proceed on your way in just a short time.  Sometimes you aren’t that lucky, and you end up having an unexpected overnight adventure.  Most times when you are “misplaced” searchers will find you within the next 72 hours.  In fact, Devon O’Neill writing in Outside, quoted Paul Anderson, who is a 42-year veteran of the National Park Service, and who spent 11 years as superintendent of Denali National Park, as saying that “Our stats show 85 percent of all lost people are found within the first 12 hours, and 97 percent are found within the first 24 hours”. 

 

Should I Stay, or Should I Go?

 

However, what happens if you fall into the unlucky 3% who aren’t found within the first 72 hours1?  When the rescuers stop looking for you, you will go from being “misplaced” to being “lost” that’s what!  When this happens, you will have to answer the question, “Should I stay, or should I go?”.

 

A case in point is Geraldine Largay, who on July 21, 2013, stepped off the Appalachian Trail, near Redington Township, Maine, and became lost.  She realized that she did not know where she was or how to return to the trail, so she set up her tent, tried to call for help with her cell phone and waited for the rescuers to find her.  Her husband reported her missing on July 24 and a massive search began and even though the search remained open for two years, she was never found.  Geraldine survived for at least 26 days, before dying of starvation and exposure.  She wasn’t found until October 2015, when her remains, including her cell phone and journal, were found inside her collapsed tent. 

 

She did everything that experts said to do, she stopped, built a camp, called for help, and waited for the rescuers to find her, but they never did and eventually the rescuers stopped searching for her. 

 

The question “Should I stay, or should I go?” is a tough question to answer.  No matter what, you don’t want to try to walk out too soon, because if you move you are simply making it harder for the searchers to catch up with you, if they are still looking, that is.  However, if they have stopped looking, then you are on your own and will have to self-rescue.  But there a couple of things to think about before you bug out

 

The updated “Survival Drill”, can help you decide whether you should stay, or you should go.  Graphic by the Author, for more read, “Survival Drill”, Updated and Explained ©”, HERE.


Are you injured?  Are you able to walk out?

 

Are you injured”?  If the answer to this question is “yes”, then ask yourself, “are you able to walk out”?  If the answer to the second question is “no”, then you should stay put.  There might be situations where your injuries are so severe that you wouldn’t survive walking out, or perhaps your injuries affect your mobility, and you aren’t able to walk out. 

 

Are your signals working?

 

In the first “Golden Hour2 after your wilderness emergency you followed the “Rule of Threes”, you took care of any injuries, found shelter from the wind and weather, and called and signaled for help, but it has been more than 72 hours and the rescuers still haven’t found you, so now what?

 

Well, perhaps, your calls and signals for help haven’t been seen or heard, so ask yourself, “are your signals working, can they be seen from the air”?  Maybe the spot where you have set up your campsite is difficult to see from the air, or maybe your signals are hard to see.  Before you decide to bug-out, you should try to use some more active signals, like flashing a signal mirror or even, possibly, lighting a “tree torch”.

 

An excerpt from FM 3-05.70, page 315.  Just be careful, you don’t want to create a forest fire, especially since you could get burnt alive by it!


The most effective visual signal is the signal mirror, or heliograph, and according to The Survival Book3 it “is second only to the radio as a rescue device”.  Sweep the horizon with your signal mirror at regular and frequent intervals, the flash can be seen by rescuers even if you, yourself, can’t see or hear them. 

 

Build signal fires and shadow or contrast signals in open areas, close to your shelter, if possible.  The survival manual Down but not Out, states that three fires, 100 feet (30 m) apart and arranged in a triangle or in a row are an international signal for help.  Remember bright flames at night and during the day, black smoke against a light background or white smoke against a dark background, will attract attention.  The U.S. Coast Guard recommends that each letter of a shadow or contrast signal be 18 feet tall by 3 feet wide (5.5 m by 1 m).

 

Pages from “Survival Hints for the Sportsman, 1959©”, HERE.


Can I orient myself?

 


Before you attempt to walk-out and self-rescue yourself, you first must answer the question “can I orient myself”?  Wandering off aimlessly will only make things worse, and if you can’t figure out where you are first, you will not be able to create a plan to get where you want to go.  If you have a compass and a map, by orienting the map to north, and studying the terrain features around you, you should be able to find out where you are on the map.  If you don’t have a compass and a map, you can study the movement of the Sun and use the “Shadow-tip Method” to determine the cardinal directions (for more on this read “How To Find Your Way Without A Compass, Part Three, The Shadow-tip Method©”, HERE).  At the very least, you must find the cardinal directions and a visible terrain feature along your proposed route of travel to help guide you during your travel before you bug out.

 


Excerpts from Better Ways Of Pathfinding, on position finding and land navigation, by Robert S. Owendoff, pages 28 to 31


No matter what, if you plan on walking out and self-rescuing, leave a message at your old campsite detailing your plans and the date and time that you left, and leave an arrow made of branches or stones on the ground, pointing in your direction of travel.

 

The arrow points the way, photograph by the Author.


Don’t forget to come back next week and read “There and Back Again...Finding Your Way©”, where we will talk about finding your way in the woods.

 

An excerpt from The Book Of Woodcraft, by Ernest Thompson Seton, page 162-163.


I hope that you continue to enjoy The Woodsman’s Journal Online and look for me on YouTube at Bandanaman Productions for other related videos, HERE.  Don’t forget to follow me on both The Woodsman’s Journal Online, HERE, and subscribe to BandanaMan Productions on YouTube.  If you have questions, as always, feel free to leave a comment on either site.  I announce new articles on Facebook at Eric Reynolds, on Instagram at bandanamanaproductions, and on VK at Eric Reynolds, so watch for me.

 

That is all for now, and as always, until next time, Happy Trails!

 

 

Notes

 

1 Remember, sometimes it takes a while before anyone realizes you are missing, and some police departments have a policy of waiting an additional 24 to 72 hours before they begin to look for a missing person.  So, keep this in mind before you bug out.

 

2 The first hour after any wilderness emergency is critical, and what you do or don’t do can determine your survival and for that reason it is often called the “Golden Hour”.  The first hour is also the most stressful, you will be disoriented and scared, and these feelings will only be made worse if you are injured and in pain.  Use the “Rule of Threes” to help guide you.  First, take care of any injuries, this is crucial, particularly in the case of severe injuries which can lead to shock.  Second, find or build a shelter from the wind and weather and start a fire.  This is particularly important if you or someone else is injured or the weather is cold, wet, or windy.  And third, call or signal for help.  The first hour after a wilderness emergency is also the golden hour for alerting rescuers and improving your chances of eventual rescue.  If you are uninjured and the weather is mild, you could move this task up to become your second priority. 

 

An excerpt from “Survive: Beyond the Forced Landing”, by the Air Safety Institute, AOPA, HERE.


3 The Survival Book, 1959, by Paul H Nesbitt, Alonzo W. Pond and William H Allen, page 27.

 

4 Outdoor Survival Training for Alaska’s Youth, by Dolly Garza, page 30

 

 

Sources

 

Adams, Char; “Hiker Who Died After Getting Lost on Appalachian Trail Left Journal for Loved Ones: 'When You Find My Body, Please Call My Husband”, updated May 26, 2016, [© 2021 Meredith Corporation], https://people.com/celebrity/hiker-who-died-on-appalachian-trail-kept-journal-of-the-ordeal/, accessed September 2, 2021

 

Air Safety Institute, AOPA; “Survive: Beyond the Forced Landing”, [Frederick, Maryland], http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=57&ved=0ahUKEwjjpoab-eTYAhWMp5QKHYYIA0o4MhAWCEswBg&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.aopa.org%2F-%2Fmedia%2Ffiles%2Faopa%2Fhome%2Fpilot%2520resources%2Fasi%2Fsafety%2520advisors%2Fsa31.pdf&usg=AOvVaw0MXBFxEgfsS5ow6y80vbbv, accessed September 1, 2021

 

Garza, Dolly; Outdoor Survival Training for Alaska’s Youth, [University of Alaska Fairbanks, 2005], page 30

 

Headquarters, Department of the Army; FM 3-05.70, [Washington DC, May 17, 2002], page 315, https://irp.fas.org/doddir/army/fm3-05-70.pdf, accessed September 10, 2021

 

Information Canada; Down but not Out, [Maracle Press, Ltd, Ottawa, Canada, 1975], page 81 to 88

 

National Council, Boy Scouts of America, Scouting, Volume 8, Issue 10, [Boy Scouts of America, May 6, 1920],

 

Nesbitt, Paul H.; Pond, Alonzo W. and Allen, William H.; The Survival Book, [D. Van Nostrand Company, Inc., Princeton, New Jersey, 1959], page 27 to 29

 

O’Neill, Devon “How Backcountry Search and Rescue Works”, Outside, March 4, 2016, [© 2021 Outside Interactive, Inc.], https://www.outsideonline.com/2059616/how-backcountry-search-and-rescue-works, accessed 10/09/2018

 

Owendoff, Robert S.; Better Ways Of Pathfinding, [The Stackpole Company, Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, 1964].  Page 28-31

Thompson Seton, Ernest; The Book Of Woodcraft [Garden City Publishing Co., Inc., Garden City, NY; 1921], page 162-163

 

Waite, Sara; “Merino man publishes survival guide”, updated May 8, 2019, [©2021 MediaNews Group, Inc.], https://www.journal-advocate.com/2013/07/26/merino-man-publishes-survival-guide/, accessed September 9, 2021

 








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